Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.001147 1.293374e-03 0.001441 0.001600 0.001767 0.001936 0.002120
2025-05-04 0.000937 1.167891e-03 0.001411 0.001682 0.001974 0.002278 0.002617
2025-05-11 0.000725 1.016813e-03 0.001337 0.001707 0.002118 0.002554 0.003048
2025-05-18 0.000491 8.089161e-04 0.001179 0.001625 0.002134 0.002687 0.003325
2025-05-25 0.000331 6.631994e-04 0.001075 0.001590 0.002194 0.002863 0.003646
2025-06-01 0.000208 5.380198e-04 0.000979 0.001554 0.002245 0.003023 0.003945
2025-06-08 0.000127 4.492647e-04 0.000917 0.001549 0.002327 0.003215 0.004277
2025-06-15 0.000083 4.052470e-04 0.000907 0.001605 0.002477 0.003482 0.004693
2025-06-22 0.000039 3.379507e-04 0.000855 0.001602 0.002552 0.003660 0.005004
2025-06-29 0.000013 2.844116e-04 0.000815 0.001609 0.002636 0.003845 0.005322
2025-07-06 0.000002 2.548169e-04 0.000808 0.001656 0.002766 0.004084 0.005700
2025-07-13 NaN 2.033904e-04 0.000756 0.001638 0.002814 0.004222 0.005959
2025-07-20 NaN 1.500445e-04 0.000697 0.001615 0.002864 0.004375 0.006253
2025-07-27 NaN 1.306416e-04 0.000698 0.001680 0.003030 0.004673 0.006721
2025-08-03 NaN 9.820473e-05 0.000666 0.001695 0.003131 0.004893 0.007101
2025-08-10 NaN 4.783600e-05 0.000570 0.001606 0.003094 0.004943 0.007279
2025-08-17 NaN 2.107191e-05 0.000511 0.001567 0.003119 0.005068 0.007546
2025-08-24 NaN 4.809080e-06 0.000455 0.001528 0.003141 0.005188 0.007805
2025-08-31 NaN 2.317015e-08 0.000421 0.001522 0.003206 0.005360 0.008125
2025-09-07 NaN NaN 0.000423 0.001576 0.003355 0.005636 0.008570
2025-09-14 NaN NaN 0.000393 0.001572 0.003420 0.005807 0.008887
2025-09-21 NaN NaN 0.000371 0.001578 0.003499 0.005994 0.009222
2025-09-28 NaN NaN 0.000370 0.001624 0.003634 0.006250 0.009642